Luck and Courage Move India Forward

03 November 2014
Stocks are expensive, but India is still the most interesting emerging market
Modi points the way forward?

(FROM BARRON'S 11/3/14)

   By Craig Mellow

 

A combination of good luck and courage has rekindled economists’ optimism about India just as the halo surrounding Narendra Modi, its new, purportedly pro-business prime minister, is beginning to fade. Good luck has come in the form of diving oil prices, which are easing the import burden that placed India on Morgan Stanley’s “fragile five” list of particularly troubled emerging markets last year. The courage is Modi’s. He took advantage of the price cut to eliminate diesel-fuel subsidies and raise regulated natural-gas prices by a third, saving India’s beleaguered budget close to 1% of gross domestic product and untangling a major market distortion.

India’s Market Outruns Modi

31 October 2014

A combination of good luck and courage has rekindled economists’ optimism about India just as the halo surrounding Narendra Modi, its new, purportedly pro-business prime minister, is beginning to fade. Good luck has come in the form of diving oil prices, which are easing the import burden that placed India on Morgan Stanley’s “fragile five” list of particularly troubled emerging markets last year. The courage is Modi’s. He took advantage of the price cut to eliminate diesel-fuel subsidies and raise regulated natural-gas prices by a third, saving India’s beleaguered budget close to 1% of gross domestic product and untangling a major market distortion.

Putin Plays the China Card

30 September 2014
Putin wants to turn his gas pipelines Eastward, but breaking up with Europe will be hard to do.
Putin Wants to Pivot to Asia Too

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

OCTOBER 01, 2014

By Craig Mellow

On September 1, with Russian troops advancing alongside separatist rebels in eastern Ukraine and the European Union promising one more round of economic sanctions against the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin took a day trip from Moscow to the wastes of Yakutia, in northeastern Siberia. The Russian president went there to celebrate the formal start of construction on the Power of Siberia natural-gas pipeline. This was no standard ribbon-cutting ceremony, though. For Putin the pipeline is an economic masterstroke that will render his country immune to what he calls blackmail by the West.

Russia's Yandex: Good Company in a Bad Neighborhood

13 September 2014
Yandex, the Russian Google, cannot escape geopolitics
Yandex Resident Genius Arkady Volozh

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

SEPTEMBER 12, 2014

What happens when a good company gets stuck in a bad — or at least decidedly out-of-favor — country? To judge by the performance of Yandex, Russia’s dominant Internet player, the country environment trumps.

Al Gore’s Satellite

31 August 2014
Update: DSCOVR launched successfully aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket on February 11.

Make yourself comfortable before asking scientists at NASA about the mission they work on. That is, unless they’re working on the Deep Space Climate Observatory, called DSCOVR, a satellite scheduled for launch early next year. A curious modesty surrounds any discussion about the mission; NASA’s press office dodges inquiries by passing them on to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which formally controls DSCOVR, even though the cargo-van-size spacecraft sits inside NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, where dozens of NASA engineers are testing and tweaking its instruments in advance of its big day. When NASA finally allowed me to meet with a deputy project manager, he claimed to know nothing about the science those instruments will study. He’s just an operations guy.

 

High Frequency Trading Gets MIxed Reception from Emerging Markets

08 June 2014
Michael Lewis may have given high-frequency trading a bad name, but not in Moscow or Sao Paolo.
Moscow Exchange's Roman Sulzhyk Welcomes HFT

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

Journalist Michael Lewis’s polemic against high frequency trading, Flash Boys, has spurredheightened scrutiny of the practice and debate about increased regulation across the financial world, but not everywhere. Some emerging markets are still keen on expanding HFT as a key to increasing trading volume and innovation, and nothing that Lewis found out has fazed them.

Battling For Ukraine with Capital, Not Combat

23 April 2014
Russia arms rebels in Ukraine, the West fights back with sanctions. Experiments in a new kind of warfare.
Illustration by John Ritter

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

APRIL 28, 2014

President Vladimir Putin seized Crimea with forces loyal to him barely firing a shot in the process. He also faces little armed resistance in eastern Ukraine, at least so far, as he seeks to foment instability in the region, possibly as a pretext for carving off more of his southern neighbor. Yet the Russian president does confront opposition of an unconventional and asymmetrical kind. The battle for Ukraine marks a new frontier in international conflict, one in which capital flows ­— not tanks or planes — are the West’s strongest weapon.

Sanctions Hit the Target on Putin's Bank

02 April 2014
Washington's Sanctions on Bank Rossiya Hit Putin's Inner Circle

Instiitutional Investor

APRIL 03, 2014

Obama’s Warning Shot: Sanctions Against Putin-Connected Bank

Since Russia’s March takeover of Crimea, critics have accused Obama and other Western leaders of ineffectual policy. But the sanctions hit a bull’s-eye.

 

 

Ukraine: Breadbasket Again?

19 March 2014
Ukraine's Agricultural Entrepreneurs Fight Red Tape, and War
Ukraine Farmers Struggle

Reaping Ukraine’s Agricultural Bounty Will Be Tough

Farming exports could offer some hope amid Ukraine’s troubles with Russia, but red tape and lack of foreign capital present obstacles. Avangardco's Oleg Bakhmatyuk believes deep foreign pockets are the answer.

Russian Tech Industry Provides and Oasis

23 February 2014
Young Russian tech companies offer something to get excited about in a stagnant economy.
Ozon.ru CEO Maelle Gavet, Illustration by Alexander Agius

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

FEB. 27, 2014

 

Investors see little reason to get excited about most Russian stocks these days. The dollar-denominated Russian Trading System index has fallen 14 percent over the past year, more than the 9 percent decline in emerging markets generally. The country’s economic growth slowed to 1.3 percent annually in 2013, according to the World Bank, down from 3.4 percent in 2012. Russia’s own Ministry of Economic Development slashed long-term growth projections last November, to an average 2.5 percent a year between now and 2030.

Pages